Interest rates news headlines

• Scotiabank Forum Predicts Another Healthy Year Ahead For Canadian Real Estate Markets (Exchange Morning Post)
  TORONTO - Canadian real estate markets remain remarkably buoyant, especially in light of the deepening housing downturn in the United States and the generally softening conditions in most other advanced economies globally, according to experts who presented today at Scotiabank’s Canadian Real Estate Outlook and Trends Forum 2008.
  >>> Read complete article

• Bank of Canada sets interest rate, Tuesday. (Globe and Mail)
  Bank of Canada makes its interest rate announcement. Economists expect the target for the key overnight rate to be set at 3.75 per cent, down from 4 per cent.
  >>> Read complete article

• Interest-rate cut expected, question is how much. (Financial Post)
  OTTAWA — It’s no longer a question of to cut or not to cut for the Bank of Canada, but of how low will it go. Canadians will find out Tuesday.
  >>> Read complete article

Today’s Headlines: Interest Rates and Subprime Mortgage

• Bank of Canada’s Carney ponders degree of rate cut - (Reuters) The Bank of Canada has to weigh strong domestic demand against the spillover effects of the slowing U.S. economy when deciding how much to cut interest rates next month, Governor Mark Carney said on Monday. Carney used his first speech since becoming central bank chief on February 1 to convey that he is keeping his options open, suggesting he could potentially reduce the bank’s overnight rate by 50 basis points, as most market players expect.

>> Read the complete article on reuters.ca

• U.S. credit woes seep across the border (Globe & Mail)
  American subprime shemozzle is beginning to squeeze mortgage and funding availability in Canada.

“Canadian chartered banks have been the main source of financing for real estate projects, but they have got caught up in the U.S. subprime mess and have had to write off those investments. Now, they have returned to what is known as balance sheet lending - or traditional mortgage financing. To maintain government-mandated equilibrium between a bank’s equity and its loans outstanding, the banks have had to both call in loans and cancel commitments for new ones, industry observers say.”

“Intense competition for funds has both increased interest rates on mortgages and created a demand for higher cash-to-mortgage ratios, says David Bowden, president of real estate broker Colliers International Canada in Toronto.”

“The credit crunch is having its greatest effect in smaller centres, says Sheila Botting, senior managing director of Canada for the capital markets group at Cushman & Wakefield Lepage Inc.”

>>Read the complete article on Globe and Mail

• Rate cuts likely to trump inflation fears (Globe & Mail)
  The inflation watch is under way this week in Canada and the United States, but investors are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve Board will to continue to cut regulated interest rates despite price pressures, while the Bank of Canada is expected to play some catch up.It’s anticipated that domestic inflation data scheduled for release today will provide plenty of leeway for the Bank of Canada to lower its target overnight rate on March 4.>> Read the complete article on Globe and Mail

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BMO Bank of Montreal Lowers Mortgage Rates

TORONTO, Feb. 15 /CNW/ - BMO Bank of Montreal announced today it is
decreasing its residential mortgage rates, effective February 16, 2008. The
new rates are:
Fixed Rates: To: Change:
6 month open 8.90% 0.00%
6 month convertible 7.10% 0.00%
1 year open 9.40% -0.10%
1 year closed 7.25% -0.10%
2 year 7.30% -0.10%
3 year 7.30% -0.10%
4 year 7.19% -0.20%
5 year 7.29% -0.10%
6 year 7.45% -0.10%
7 year 7.65% -0.05%
10 year 8.00% -0.05%
18 year open 9.20% 0.00%

(The interest on fixed-rate mortgages compounds semi-annually, not in advance.)

The Five-Year Protected Variable Rate ceiling changes to 7.29%.

Special Offers(*)
To: Change:
3 year (fixed/closed) 6.23% - 0.10%
5 year (fixed/closed) 6.23% -0.10%
7 year (fixed/closed) 6.38% -0.05%

Homeowner ReadiLine(R)
5-year variable rate closed term 5.50% 0.00%

(*) These special discounted rates are not the posted rates of BMO Bank
of Montreal. Rates are subject to change without notice. Offer may be
withdrawn or extended without notice. Mortgage funds must be advanced
within 90 days of the application

Housing Starts to Fall Slightly in 2008

OTTAWA, February 4, 2008 — Housing starts reached 228,343 units in 2007, an increase of 0.4 per cent from 227,395 in 2006, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) first quarter Housing Market Outlook, Canada Edition report. In 2008, residential construction will decline to about 211,700 units, given higher mortgage carrying costs. Nevertheless, Canada’s housing market remains strong and 2008 will mark the seventh consecutive year in which housing starts exceed 200,000 units.

“Despite some global financial instability with regards to the U.S. housing market, Canada continues to experience robust employment levels, ongoing income gains and low mortgage rates,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist for CMHC. “This has strongly supported Canada’s housing markets. However, housing starts are expected to decrease in 2008 mainly due to recent increases in house prices, which will push mortgage carrying costs higher for home buyers.”

Existing home sales, as measured by the Multiple Listing Service (MLS^®)¹, are poised to experience a very strong year with about 520,000 units in 2007, a 7.6 per cent increase over 2006. In 2008 the level of MLS^® sales is expected to fall by 3.9 per cent to 499,650 units, while 2009 will see an additional decrease to 488,300. Growth in the average MLS^® price has remained high at 10.6 per cent in 2007, mainly because of continued strong price pressures in Canada’s western provinces. However, as most resale markets move toward more balanced conditions, growth in average MLS^® price is forecast to slow to 5.2 per cent in 2008 and 3.8 per cent in 2009.

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